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FXEmpire   |  May 18 2012 2:19 EDT

By FXEmpire.com

Analysis and Recommendation: (close of the Asian session)

The NZD/USD is following its neighbors, falling on market sentiment and risk aversion. The pair are trading at 0.7560.

The kiwi dollar dropped after Moody’s cut the ratings on Spanish banks amid speculation Europe’s debt crisis is spreading, sapping investors’ appetite for higher-yielding, or riskier, assets.

The NZD fell as low as 0.7564 this morning.

That’s the lowest the kiwi has fallen since December 20. It traded at 0.7562 at 5pm. The New Zealand dollar is poised for a 3.5% decline this week after Moody’s downgraded 16 Spanish banks including, recently nationalized Bankia SA. Nine firms were cut three notches, while seven were kept on review.

The main drivers for the cuts included rising loan defaults and the renewed risk of a recession.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.

Economic Data May 17, 2012 actual v. forecast

CAD

Foreign Securities Purchases

-2.08B

9.34B

12.54B

USD

Initial Jobless Claims

370K

365K

370K

CAD

Wholesale Sales (MoM)

0.4%

0.4%

1.5%

USD

Continuing Jobless Claims

3265K

3235K

3247K

MXN

Mexican GDP (YoY)

4.60%

4.50%

3.90%

USD

Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index

-5.8

10.0

8.5

Upcoming Economic Events that affect the AUD, NZD, JPY and USD

May 22

3:00

NZD

Inflation Expectations q/q

2.5%

14:00

USD

Existing Home Sales

4.48M

23:50

JPY

Trade Balance

-0.62T

May 23

0:00

AUD

CB Leading Index m/m

0.0%

0:30

AUD

MI Leading Index m/m

0.2%

TBD

JPY

Monetary Policy Statement

TBD

JPY

Overnight Call Rate

<0.10%

TBD

JPY

BOJ Press Conference

14:00

USD

New Home Sales

328K

14:30

USD

Crude Oil Inventories

22:45

NZD

Trade Balance

134M

May 24

2:00

NZD

Annual Budget Release

5:00

JPY

BOJ Monthly Report

12:30

USD

Core Durable Goods Orders m/m

-0.8%

12:30

USD

Unemployment Claims

12:30

USD

Durable Goods Orders m/m

-4.0%

23:30

JPY

Tokyo Core CPI y/y

-0.5%

May 25

TBD

ALL

G8 Meetings

13:55

USD

Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment

Click here a current NZD/USD Chart.

Originally posted here



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