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: Australia New Housing Starts Expected To Fall 17% In Fiscal Year Before Rising - HIA Forecast
05/27/09 09:31 pm (EST)

(RTTNews) - New housing construction in Australia is expected to contract modestly during the current two-year period, then begin a two-year period of expansion, according to the latest forecast from the Housing Industry Association (HIA).

The HIA's "National Outlook" for the March 2009 quarter predicts the number of housing starts to drop by 17 percent in the 2008-09 fiscal year to a level of 132,000 before growing by 11 percent for the following two years.

HIA Chief Economist Harley Dale said the government's fiscal stimulus program coupled with large interest rate reductions are expected to lead to a recovery in home building starting in mid 2009.

"The First Home Owner Boos, the lowest mortgage rates since the late 1960s and the housing components of the Federal Government's Nation Building and Jobs Plan will combine to generate a moderate recovery in residential activity," Dale said. "This recovery will be heavily constrained by economic uncertainty and rising unemployment."

The HIA forecast projects housing renovations, which account for just under half of all housing industry expenditures, "is holding up well," with a "steady" 2008-09 period followed by an expected 6 percent increase in the following two years. The report projected a record amount of renovation spending of A$33 billion in 2010-2011.

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